Home
로그인등록
거래할 준비가 되셨나요?
지금 등록하세요

Psychology of Trading: Believing in “Lucky Streaks”

Many people attempt to identify patterns in randomness. The winning streak phenomenon is a trader's belief that they cannot lose dramatically after a series of winning trades. The trader doesn't recognize their trades as independent, preferring to believe that the "winning streak" will continue, however, it's important to understand that markets depend on many external factors, and not only on individual human abilities.

In 1985, famous behavioral scientists Thomas Gilovich, Robert Vallone, and Amos Tversky published their study "The hot hand in basketball". The study was intended to prove that the people are wrong, assuming that players have more chances of another successful hit in the basket after a series of successful hits. Scientists have claimed that people misinterpret randomness and therefore draw incorrect conclusions. As with the coin toss, people believe that the chances of tails increase after a toss lands as heads.

When trading, those who are under the influence of the hot streak fallacy expect to be rewarded for trading decisions solely on the basis that their previous trades were successful. They believe that their chances of making a profit are higher. This can cause several other trading biases, including confirmation bias (where the investor only believes information that confirms their point of view) and the illusion of control (where the person believes that they are in control of the situation and can even manage it). The more trades a trader has in their winning streak, the less likely they are to lose. But this isn't the case, the streak must end somewhere, and if a trader doesn't take this into account, they risk losing their deposit in the trade. 

In financial markets, the psychological “streak of luck” phenomenon also occurs when traders try to delegate their investment decisions to professional fund managers who have had successful track records in the belief that they can continue to perform well.

Not every trade you make will be a winning one, no matter how well you have traded in the past. Analyze every trade, don't make hasty decisions, and don't make logical conclusions based solely on successful past experiences. 

거래할 준비가 되셨나요?
지금 등록하세요
EO Broker

회사는 호주, 오스트리아, 벨라루스, 벨기에, 불가리아, 캐나다, 크로아티아, 키프로스 공화국, 체코 공화국, 덴마크, 에스토니아, 핀란드, 프랑스, 독일, 그리스, 헝가리, 아이슬란드, 이란, 아일랜드, 이스라엘, 이탈리아, 라트비아, 리히텐슈타인, 리투아니아, 룩셈부르크, 몰타, 미얀마, 네덜란드, 뉴질랜드, 북한, 노르웨이, 폴란드, 포르투갈, 푸에르토리코, 루마니아, 러시아, 싱가포르, 슬로바키아, 슬로베니아, 남수단, 스페인, 수단, 스웨덴, 스위스, 영국, 우크라이나, 미국, 예멘의 시민 및/또는 거주자에게 서비스를 제공하지 않습니다.

거래자
제휴 프로그램
Partners EO Broker

결제 방법

Payment and Withdrawal methods EO Broker
이 사이트에서 제공하는 작업은 고위험 작업이 될 수 있으며 실행 역시 높은 위험성을 가지고 있습니다. 이 사이트에서 제공하는 금융 상품 및 서비스를 구매하실 경우, 투자 금액의 심각한 손실을 초래하거나 계정에 있는 금액을 모두 잃게 될 수도 있습니다. 사용자는 사이트에서 제공하는 서비스와 관련하여 개인적, 비상업적, 양도 불가능한 용도로만 이 사이트에 포함된 IP를 사용할 수 있는 제한적 비독점적 권리를 부여받습니다.
EOLabs LLC는 JFSA의 감독하에 있지 않기 때문에 일본에 금융 상품을 제공하고 금융 서비스를 요청하는 것으로 간주되는 어떠한 행위에도 관여하지 않으며 이 웹 사이트는 일본 거주자를 대상으로 하지 않습니다.
© 2014–2024 EO Broker
EO Broker. 무단 복제 금지.